NSE shares extend gains up to 5% shortly after market debut; should you buy, sell, or hold?

Reports coming in for today mention that NSE shares extended their upside by up to 5 percent shortly after market debut on Thursday amid firm buying interest in the stock. Shares of the firm rose 5.2 percent to an intraday high of Rs 1,878 per share on the BSE.
On the BSE, NSE shares were listed at Rs 1,800 per share, a premium of 0.84 percent. The firm's market capitdalisation post stock-exchange debut of its shares stood at Rs 4,45,500-crore. The offering had a price range of Rs 1,700-1,785 per equity share.
The Rs 22,569-crore initial public offering (IPO) of the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE), the country's second-largest IPO, was subscribed 5.71 times on the final day of bidding on Monday, fuelled by firm demand from institutional market participants.
The NSE IPO was India's second-largest public offering after Hyundai Motor India's Rs 27,870-crore IPO in 2024. It surpassed LIC's Rs 21,000-crore offering in 2022 but stays below Hyundai Motor India's record public offering.
NSE share stock-exchange debut today: Should you buy, sell or hold?
Macquarie has initiated coverage on the NSE stock with an ‘Outperform’ rating and a target price of Rs 1,965 per share.
Abhinav Tiwari, Sr. Research Market observer at Bonanza, noted that NSE’s stock-exchange debut has significantly increased its shareholder base, rising from around 2 lakh before the IPO to nearly 36 lakh after the stock-exchange debut.
"The exchange keeps benefit from firm market share, high liquidity, network effects and growing non-transaction topline. That stated, we stay wary as the stock needs time for price discovery. We would prefer to wait for at least one quarter before assessing its sustainable valuation. Near-term risks include softer trading activity from the Closing Auction Session and possible selling pressure after the lock-in period," he further noted.
Shivani Nyati, Head of Wealth at Swastika Investmart, stated NSE's earnings are sensitive to market volumes and regulatory changes.
"At Rs 1,700-1,785, the IPO is valued at around 40.9x-42.9x FY26 diluted EPS, at a discount to BSE's 54.28x, offering valuation backing. That stated, around 79 percent of topline is linked to trading activity, making earnings sensitive to market volumes and regulatory changes," she stated.